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Comment by jijijijij

1 day ago

My prediction: AI is the deathblow to IPv6 adoption for the wider web, since blocklists only really work with IPv4. Increasing VPN usage making user tracking and heuristics difficult, AI scrapers stealing appropriated human content and AI spam poisoning its exploitation, not to mention tech monopolization and centralization, the limitations of IPv4 are suddenly becoming an asset and incentives for IPv6 support are zero.

On the plus side, we probably got all of IPv6 to build an alternative, non-commercial, better web or whatever network, if we act quickly before routing support is vanishing. IPv6-only housing is cheap, things don’t need to work out. There could be the IPv4-enforced corpo world within walls, and IPv6-enabled wild wide wonderlands.

There are ways to build blocklists for IPv6. I saw (used) once bloom filters for this. Inspired by some papers from the 2000s, this one in 2009 https://www.nokia.com/bell-labs/publications-and-media/publi...

  • The point isn't the technical inability to block particular IPv6 addresses efficiently, but anticipating abuse potential by IP. You can change IPv6 addresses freely compared to IPv4. With IPv4 it's easy to determine, if you are dealing with a residential IP or VPN. No heuristics or analysis needed. IPv4 addresses are blocked preemptively, that's not really a thing for IPv6. Eg. VPN providers wouldn't have static endpoint addresses with IPv6. So you may be able to limit spontaneous abuse such as DDoS attacks, but it's a lot harder to filter technically legitimate traffic, which is merely unwanted for your data aggregation.

> blocklists only really work with IPv4

Do they? Why would it be any harder to block e.g. a /56 than a /24?