Comment by pydry
11 hours ago
This suggests that the latent demand was a lot but it still doesnt prove it is unbounded.
At some point the low hanging automation fruit gets tapped out. What can be put online that isnt there already? Which business processes are obviously going to be made an order magnitude more efficient?
Moreover, we've never had more developers and we've exited an anomalous period of extraordinarily low interest rates.
The party might be over.
Yep, the current crunch experienced by developers is massively (but not exclusivly) on younger less experienced developers.
I was working with developer training for a while some 5-10 years back and already then I was starting to see some signs of an incoming over-saturation, the low interest rates probably masked much of it due to happy go lucky investments sucking up developers.
Low hanging and cheap automation,etc work is quickly dwindling now, especially as development firms are searching out new niches when the big "in-IT" customers aren't buying services inside the industry.
Luckily people will retire and young people probably aren't as bullish about the industry anymore, so we'll probably land in an equilebrium, the question is how long it'll take, because the long tail of things enabled by the mobile/tablet revolution is starting to be claimed.
Look at traditional manufacturing. Automation has made massive inroads. Not as much of the economy is directly supporting (eg, auto) manufacturers as it used to be (stats check needed). Nevertheless, there are plenty of mechanical engineering jobs. Not so many lower skill line worker jobs in the US any more, though. You have to ask yourself which category you are in (by analogy). Don’t be the SWE working on the assembly line.
>Don’t be the SWE working on the assembly line.
The job is literally building automation.
There is no equivalent to "working on the assembly line" as an SWE.
>Not so many lower skill line worker jobs in the US any more, though
Because Globalization.
Yes there totally are web development, shovel ware app development, are two that I can think of off the top of my head.
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