Comment by threethirtytwo
1 month ago
Look at the past decade. Zero AI to AI that codes and makes movies in an inferior way when matched with humans.
What does common sense tell you the next decade will bring? Does the trendline predict flat lining that LLMs or AI in general won’t improve? Or will the trendline continue like most trendlines typically trend on doing? What is the most logical conclusion?
Common sense tells me not to extrapolate when I only have two points.
https://xkcd.com/605/
I have no doubt LLMs will continue to improve, but no idea at what rate and what the limit will be.