Comment by fhd2

You're absolutely right!

Sorry, couldn't resist :P But I do, in fact, agree based on my anecdotal evidence and feeling. And I'm bullish that even if we _haven't_ cracked how to use LLMs in programming well, we will, in the form of quite different tools maybe.

Point is, I don't believe anyone is at the local maximum yet, models changed too much the last years to really get to something stable.

And I'm also willing to leave some doubt that my impression/feeling might be off. Measuring short term productivity is one thing. Measuring long term effects on systems is much harder. We had a few software crises in the past. That's not because people back then were idiots, they just followed what seemed to work. Just like we do today. The feedback loop for this stuff is _long_. Short term velocity gains are just one variable to watch.

Anyway, all my rambling aside, I absolutely agree that LLMs are both revolutionary and useful. I'm just careful to prematurely form a strong opinion on where/how exactly.