Comment by rexpop

> If it's not impossible, it will happen given enough time.

I hope you might be somewhat relieved to consider that this is not so in an absolute sense. There are plenty of technological might-have-beens that didn't happen, and still haven't, and probably will never—due to various economic and social dynamics.

The counterfactual—all that's possible happens—ie almost tautological.

We should try and look at these mechanisms from an economic standpoint, and ask "do they really have the information-processing density to take significant long-term independent action?"

Of course, "significant" is my weasel word.

> we're giving the models so much unsupervised compute...

Didn't you read the article? It's wasted! It's kipple!