If you're looking for what the damage was, it failed.
Potential damage: "Most notable was one [attack] in Ukraine in December 2015. It left roughly 230,000 people without electricity for about six hours during one of the coldest months of the year."
The Jaguar hack cost the UK $2.5Bn and dropped production to levels you'd normally only see during open warfare. Recovery took many months, and the financial damage persists today.
We still operate with a primitive homunculi where a gunshot is considered aggressive, but sabotaging infrastructure that can kill hundreds from cold is being waved at.
My first pass through the title was "Those windshield wipers shouldn't need to be internet-connected."
Thankfully, the article did clear that up, but the fact that my brain didn't even think, "that's a stupid idea that no one would buy that" is a bit depressing.
Well, obviously, your car can count cycles on the electromotor moving the wipers. Then you apply statistical wear and tear, maybe even geofenced, and your car orders new wipers. Same with tires. Simple as pie ;)
This war will likely clean some old electronics providers from the market. You are either very good at security (and that does not mean "airgap" all the things- if your plc needs a special laptop to connect to, the malware just needs to go for those laptops) or you are out of buisness in regions under threat permanently.
There's some news about some psy-op or some damage every couple of days. We hear about "Russian trolls" and influencing the political discourse.
I wonder if there is any symmetrical response to this happening. How about unleashing psy-ops and "Western trolls" in Runet? Is Europe in purely defensive mode?
The lack of political will to create and fund covert offensive operations over the internet.
Russia has had this down for _years_, it's not illegal to hack non-Russian targets, so people do it. They have command and control systems where they can give out tasks like "find me vulnerabilities for Siemens XYZ hardware" and then a team will pick that up and do it.
They also practice infiltration, exfiltration and coordination with their attacks. Every kiddie can get in with maximum noise, the truly skilled ones get OUT without leaving any definite traces.
And I'm not talking out of my ass: https://youtu.be/jbIR7YVAYnc - I'm talking out of Marina Krotofil's ass, she's been investigating and dissecting this for a long time.
I think Europe hasn't developed this kind of political manipulation ability. Europe seems to operate in the mode where as long as the political institutions are still standing, everything is felt to be alright. US democrats also operate in this mode.
FWIW it seems Russia's trolling activities took a pretty significant hit after Prigozhin fell out of a window in 2023, as the "Internet Research Agency" was one of his ventures.
Might be. For highly sensitive messages, Russia still uses physical delivery of typewritten letters. This is because they (rightly) distrust digital security models.
Since the start of the war, Russia will rather admit incompetence (a soldier was smoking next to an ammo depot) than admit Ukraine succeeded in a military objective.
> It "involved an attempt to disrupt communication between generating installations and grid operators across a large area of Poland".
I doubt we will have all details, but I suspect this kind of communication occurred over the Internet (hopefully, at least a VPN).
Also, even completely airgapped networks are not 100% secure, if you can install a device or convince someone to do it by accident (social engineering).
Poland is a major logistical hub for everything going towards Ukraine. Thus targeting basic infrastructure like energy grid or railroad have to be expected.
On the bright side, using these weapon grade malware is burning exploits and also showing current state and techniques of Russian cyberwarfare which defender can learn a lot from.
> On the bright side, using these weapon grade malware is burning exploits and also showing current state and techniques of Russian cyberwarfare which defender can learn a lot from.
Or perhaps they used an already-known malware to measure defensive capabilities without showing any of their cards.
While there's some overlap in methodologies and back-and-forth with various escalations, so-called malware is distinct from software exploits. Malware can be delivered without an exploit and quite often is. Social engineering is highly effective.
before anyone jumps on the pedantry bandwagon, its worth noting that even though open war hasn’t been called: the attacks on infrastructure especially cyber warfare is extremely active and, crucially, direct.
It is totally fair to say that in a digital context, Russia is absolutely at war with Europe.
As far as I can tell, they don’t even try to hide it.
Does Europe overall feel and act like that’s the case though?
It seems as if the European war has been pushed to the background recently, and most people kind of forgot about it. If you walk down the streets of Paris or Berlin does it look like it’s wartime, do people talk about it much, do they share the latest front news and so on?
have you seen the competence in those who manage the infrastructure? i'd say i would need significant proof before assuming anything. And IF russia is doing it, I would still say that we should put 99% blame on the absolute incompetents running the infrastructure, 1% russia.
Russia is currently focused at striking Ukrainian energy assets. Ukraine get energy imports from EU through Hungary and Poland. Hampering energy supply from Poland would but a huge strain on the already struggling Ukrainian network.
Keep the population of hostile countries uneasy at all times, destabilise a bit here and there, help them argue about stupid identity politics instead of focusing on things that actually matter.
When people become complacent about Russians poking around here and there, breaking in and not doing anything etc - then when they actually need to act, the defence will be lukewarm.
The most obvious answer is Russia(or one of their allies like China or Iran) did it because Poland is supporting Ukraine in the war (directly, and also indirectly by letting stuff from other countries be staged and move through Poland).
That would be the most obvious answer, but Russia wants to keep Poland off-balance over the next 2 decades so that they won't intervene as Russia captures its neighbors. You'll see a lot more sabotage in France if Europe agrees to a new nuclear defense pact.
Will this be the time that EU grows a spine and comes together to oppose Russia?
Naaa, better continue to have Germany and France continue to destroy the Union by looking only at their self interests while they pretend to talk tough on Trump and sabotage any real internal changes so that they can keep their crumbs.
Just this week, France’s meddling halted a deal that was 30 years in the making: Mercosul while their president, in all his virtue signaling went on Davos to pretend to have the moral upper hand on the USA.
We’re a union of hypocrites. And France and Germany are the worst of them.
Yes, but how could that be solved? To solve this issue you'd have to significantly reduce the sovereignty of the EU member states, which some, especially Poland will oppose fiercely. But on the other had, without some coherent cooperation and responses, Europe will be chewed up country at a time by Russia, and maybe in the future by China.
Any actual EU members are in principle protected by this, even if they aren't NATO members. Whether or not EU countries being in NATO diminishes their ability to act without US consent is debatable and I lean towards saying NATO's joint command essentially sets article 42 cooperation up to fail.
That's the difference between Ukraine and the other countries on Putin's list though: Ukraine wasn't in the EU or NATO, and for all intents and purposes had no allies.
Which EU? The EU that continues to buy rebadged Russian oil and gas, the EU that sold them entire fleets of shadow tankers? Or the one that likes to pretend that states bordering Russia have suddenly acquired the exact same demand for expensive cars that Russia used to exhibit?
If you're looking for what the damage was, it failed.
Potential damage: "Most notable was one [attack] in Ukraine in December 2015. It left roughly 230,000 people without electricity for about six hours during one of the coldest months of the year."
The Jaguar hack cost the UK $2.5Bn and dropped production to levels you'd normally only see during open warfare. Recovery took many months, and the financial damage persists today.
We still operate with a primitive homunculi where a gunshot is considered aggressive, but sabotaging infrastructure that can kill hundreds from cold is being waved at.
The difference is the bureaucratic "doubt" about who did what.
Which, with the current zeit geist, should really be minimized to almost zero
Blame everything on X group i don’t like is a bold move
3 replies →
But hey, at least they saved a few million a year in developer salaries by offshoring
My first pass through the title was "Those windshield wipers shouldn't need to be internet-connected."
Thankfully, the article did clear that up, but the fact that my brain didn't even think, "that's a stupid idea that no one would buy that" is a bit depressing.
But then how would you alert people that their wiper blades are wearing down, and automatically ship them new ones?
Well, obviously, your car can count cycles on the electromotor moving the wipers. Then you apply statistical wear and tear, maybe even geofenced, and your car orders new wipers. Same with tires. Simple as pie ;)
BTW, I would have zero interest in that feature.
1 reply →
This war will likely clean some old electronics providers from the market. You are either very good at security (and that does not mean "airgap" all the things- if your plc needs a special laptop to connect to, the malware just needs to go for those laptops) or you are out of buisness in regions under threat permanently.
Poland has a high alertness status for like 5 years now. So there was time to be prepared.
There's some news about some psy-op or some damage every couple of days. We hear about "Russian trolls" and influencing the political discourse.
I wonder if there is any symmetrical response to this happening. How about unleashing psy-ops and "Western trolls" in Runet? Is Europe in purely defensive mode?
It's the openness needed in western societies.
The lack of political will to create and fund covert offensive operations over the internet.
Russia has had this down for _years_, it's not illegal to hack non-Russian targets, so people do it. They have command and control systems where they can give out tasks like "find me vulnerabilities for Siemens XYZ hardware" and then a team will pick that up and do it.
They also practice infiltration, exfiltration and coordination with their attacks. Every kiddie can get in with maximum noise, the truly skilled ones get OUT without leaving any definite traces.
And I'm not talking out of my ass: https://youtu.be/jbIR7YVAYnc - I'm talking out of Marina Krotofil's ass, she's been investigating and dissecting this for a long time.
I think Europe hasn't developed this kind of political manipulation ability. Europe seems to operate in the mode where as long as the political institutions are still standing, everything is felt to be alright. US democrats also operate in this mode.
Russia is perfectly capable of trashing itself without anyone helping.
FWIW it seems Russia's trolling activities took a pretty significant hit after Prigozhin fell out of a window in 2023, as the "Internet Research Agency" was one of his ventures.
2 replies →
EU-based troll farms are for long time in RUnet already (i.e. FRF) along with EU-aligned russian language media who spread certain narratives.
Assuming that Ukraine cyber attacks (novel/0-day) on the Russian energy grid must be happening, I don't often hear of this happening there.
Why not?? Is Russia's grid infrastructure so old as to not be as vulnerable?
Might be. For highly sensitive messages, Russia still uses physical delivery of typewritten letters. This is because they (rightly) distrust digital security models.
There is no war in Ba Sing Se
Since the start of the war, Russia will rather admit incompetence (a soldier was smoking next to an ammo depot) than admit Ukraine succeeded in a military objective.
Curious to how these attacks work logistically. I assume these networks are air-gapped?
Another source says:
> It "involved an attempt to disrupt communication between generating installations and grid operators across a large area of Poland".
I doubt we will have all details, but I suspect this kind of communication occurred over the Internet (hopefully, at least a VPN).
Also, even completely airgapped networks are not 100% secure, if you can install a device or convince someone to do it by accident (social engineering).
E.g. with stuxnet they got to the air-gapped machines by letting worms loose on the network of suppliers, targeting technicians laptops.
For what purpose? Cui bono?
Poland is a major logistical hub for everything going towards Ukraine. Thus targeting basic infrastructure like energy grid or railroad have to be expected.
On the bright side, using these weapon grade malware is burning exploits and also showing current state and techniques of Russian cyberwarfare which defender can learn a lot from.
> On the bright side, using these weapon grade malware is burning exploits and also showing current state and techniques of Russian cyberwarfare which defender can learn a lot from.
Or perhaps they used an already-known malware to measure defensive capabilities without showing any of their cards.
3 replies →
While there's some overlap in methodologies and back-and-forth with various escalations, so-called malware is distinct from software exploits. Malware can be delivered without an exploit and quite often is. Social engineering is highly effective.
Interesting that Russia still hasn't targeted the bridges going into Ukraine from Poland for some reason.
3 replies →
Russia is at war with Europe.
before anyone jumps on the pedantry bandwagon, its worth noting that even though open war hasn’t been called: the attacks on infrastructure especially cyber warfare is extremely active and, crucially, direct.
It is totally fair to say that in a digital context, Russia is absolutely at war with Europe.
As far as I can tell, they don’t even try to hide it.
65 replies →
Does Europe overall feel and act like that’s the case though?
It seems as if the European war has been pushed to the background recently, and most people kind of forgot about it. If you walk down the streets of Paris or Berlin does it look like it’s wartime, do people talk about it much, do they share the latest front news and so on?
18 replies →
Thankfully we'll magically stop being at war with Russia once Ukraine gives up :P
1 reply →
It is not, because Europe is not a political entity. Russia is at war with some European countries.
3 replies →
have you seen the competence in those who manage the infrastructure? i'd say i would need significant proof before assuming anything. And IF russia is doing it, I would still say that we should put 99% blame on the absolute incompetents running the infrastructure, 1% russia.
8 replies →
Russia is currently focused at striking Ukrainian energy assets. Ukraine get energy imports from EU through Hungary and Poland. Hampering energy supply from Poland would but a huge strain on the already struggling Ukrainian network.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_generation_warfare
It's the Russian doctrine
Keep the population of hostile countries uneasy at all times, destabilise a bit here and there, help them argue about stupid identity politics instead of focusing on things that actually matter.
When people become complacent about Russians poking around here and there, breaking in and not doing anything etc - then when they actually need to act, the defence will be lukewarm.
Poland is frequently listed by Putin and his crew as one of Russia’s greatest enemies.
Nihil novi. It's like that for centuries. They are still salty about losing Moscow.
The most obvious answer is Russia(or one of their allies like China or Iran) did it because Poland is supporting Ukraine in the war (directly, and also indirectly by letting stuff from other countries be staged and move through Poland).
That would be the most obvious answer, but Russia wants to keep Poland off-balance over the next 2 decades so that they won't intervene as Russia captures its neighbors. You'll see a lot more sabotage in France if Europe agrees to a new nuclear defense pact.
Will this be the time that EU grows a spine and comes together to oppose Russia?
Naaa, better continue to have Germany and France continue to destroy the Union by looking only at their self interests while they pretend to talk tough on Trump and sabotage any real internal changes so that they can keep their crumbs.
Just this week, France’s meddling halted a deal that was 30 years in the making: Mercosul while their president, in all his virtue signaling went on Davos to pretend to have the moral upper hand on the USA.
We’re a union of hypocrites. And France and Germany are the worst of them.
>France’s meddling halted a deal that was 30 years in the making: Mercosul
Mercosur would actually be Polish complaint to the EU Court of Justice (CJEU)
https://www.visahq.com/news/2026-01-22/pl/polish-meps-spearh...
Poland as usual doing God's work.
Yes, but how could that be solved? To solve this issue you'd have to significantly reduce the sovereignty of the EU member states, which some, especially Poland will oppose fiercely. But on the other had, without some coherent cooperation and responses, Europe will be chewed up country at a time by Russia, and maybe in the future by China.
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/EN/legal-content/glossary/mutual-d...
Any actual EU members are in principle protected by this, even if they aren't NATO members. Whether or not EU countries being in NATO diminishes their ability to act without US consent is debatable and I lean towards saying NATO's joint command essentially sets article 42 cooperation up to fail.
That's the difference between Ukraine and the other countries on Putin's list though: Ukraine wasn't in the EU or NATO, and for all intents and purposes had no allies.
1 reply →
Which EU? The EU that continues to buy rebadged Russian oil and gas, the EU that sold them entire fleets of shadow tankers? Or the one that likes to pretend that states bordering Russia have suddenly acquired the exact same demand for expensive cars that Russia used to exhibit?
Hybrid war on Europe.
[dead]
With all the other crazy world-destroying us bullshit, is this also you? 50% you, 50% russia. It's an new gameshow, is it Russian or us?