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Comment by throwaway17_17

3 hours ago

Are you aware of whether Chennowith ever discussed the presence, implied or actual, of more extreme resistance groups/factions operating in the same locations and time periods? I’ve seen some informal work discussing the ‘pressure’ on the incumbent power being supported and made more tenable in comparison to the potential for a more radical approach. I have seen anything widely popularized discussing this outside of ‘How to Blow Up a Pipeline’ which does have some good references and particular examples.

Yes, and the result is negative.

Violent Action only incentivizes the selectorate to not defect. This is something Kuran pointed out decades ago as did Chennowith.

The reality is the only way to affect change is to incentivize elite defection, and that requires organized nonviolent action along with exogenous variables.