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Comment by Der_Einzige

8 hours ago

This but unironically. I'm hoping I can get into the skilled blue collar labor before it gets flooded by the hordes of unemployed AI researchers circa the 2030s (likely 2028 lol). No I'm not even kidding

I wouldn't sweat about it.

In my ~40mln country the construction sector (that includes renovation, landscaping etc.) outnumbers the IT sector 3:1.

Lead times for having things done around here are ridiculous, which is why I believe the former can absorb half of the latter with little change in salaries.

  • Yeah skilled blue collar labor is insanely stupidly expensive. I do want a flood of them so that the current scammers in most of the skilled blue collars get devalued.

    No, you do not get to charge 500 USD to change an anode rod on a water heater if I have the damn rod. That's a 20 min job MAX and the only reason I'm calling you is that putting on the stupid plumbing tape at the end is annoying for me

    I understand guild warfare and the hatred of labor unions the moment that I have to deal yet another actually-should-be-in-jail levels of scamming from yet another dentist.

    Y'all think that AI researchers should go to jail for hallucinated citations? Dental surgeons should go to jail for selling homeopathic remedies (ask me how I know!)

    • > I do want a flood of them so that the current scammers in most of the skilled blue collars get devalued.

      Same here. A friend of mine had some interior finishing done by two guys - one was a drinker, the other - a smoker (not tobacco).

      After several missed deadlines and significant cost overruns, the drinker had to go, because he would go AWOL too often. The smoker stayed, because he responded to yelling and threats of lawsuits.

      > Y'all think that AI researchers should go to jail for hallucinated citations?

      I don't want to start this conversation because to me if we were a proper branch of engineering, a lot of us would be in jail already.

      > Dental surgeons should go to jail for selling homeopathic remedies

      I respect the hustle, but he could have just went with vitamin C supplements like my guy. He's a doctor(like all denstist here) and those pills legitimately contain proper amounts of vitamin C. Only difference is that I can get the same thing for 1/4 of the price at any pharmacy.

    • I'm wondering if I get fired from my corporate middle-do-nothing job I could become a skilled blue collar worker. My point is, someone who both at the same time can put tiles and won't fuck up the pattern could be very valuable. I assume one year maximum to learn ins and outs.

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Who will need your labour if everyone else is unemployed?

  • Landlords, probably. The only people you have to keep paying even if they don't do anything and nobody is employed.

    • landlords need people to pay the rent. Or to spell it out more precisely : the construction/housing industry off of which land lords extract value needs external value creation to still exist AND give revenue to spend to a large population. "Houses are for people to live in" may be a communist slogan right now, but it's also very basic macro-economic reality.

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Wait for the robots taking manual labor. Maybe there is some value in nursing them?