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Comment by dspillett

25 days ago

> … the internet is already full of LLM writing, but where it's not quite invisible yet. It's just a matter of time …

I don't think it will become significantly less visible⁰ in the near future. The models are going to hit the problem of being trained on LLM generated content which will cause the growth in their effectiveness quite a bit. It is already a concern that people are trying to develop mitigations for, and I expect it to hit hard soon unless some new revolutionary technique pops up¹².

> those Dead Internet Theory guys score another point

I'm betting that us Habsburg Internet predictors will have our little we-told-you-so moment first!

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[0] Though it is already hard to tell when you don't have your thinking head properly on sometimes. I bet it is much harder for non-native speakers, even relatively fluent ones, of the target language. I'm attempting to learn Spanish and there is no way I'd see the difference at my level in the language (A1, low A2 on a good day) given it often isn't immediately obvious in my native language. It might be interesting to study how LLM generated content affects people at different levels (primary language, fluent second, fluent but in a localised creole, etc.).

[1] and that revolution will likely be in detecting generated content, which will make generated content easier to flag for other purposes too, starting an arms race rather than solving the problem overall

[2] such a revolution will pop up, it is inevitable, but I think (hope?) the chance of it happening soon is low