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Comment by captain_coffee

4 hours ago

So ... will the crash be bigger that the one causing The Great Depression or smaller? Any bets?

Not even close. The 2008 financial crisis is better comparison. And even then I think most negative effect will come from investors pulling money away from everything non-AI, than OpenAI/Anthropic/Oracle crashing and burning.

Before 2030, especially if the frontier AI labs begin to IPO before then.

  • I'm really eager to see how Anthropic's IPO this year (if it even happens) will pan out.