Comment by godelski

Depends on your definition of simulation but yeah, I think you understand.

I think it really comes down to dev time and adaptability. But honestly I'm fairly with you. I don't think this is a great route. I have a lot of experience in synthetic data generation and nothing beats high quality data. I do think we should develop world models but I wouldn't all something a world model unless it actually models a physics. And I mean "a physics" not "what people think of as 'physics'" (i.e. the real world). I mean having a counterfactual representation of an environment. Our physics equations are an extremely compressed representation of our reality. You can't generate these representations through observation alone, and that is the naive part of the usual way to develop world models. But we'd need to go into metaphysics and that's a long conversation not well suited for HN.

These simulations are helping but they have a clear limit to their utility. I think too many people believe that if you just feed the models enough data it'll learn. Hyperscaleing is a misunderstanding of the Bitter Lesson that slows development despite showing some progress.