Comment by Revolution1120

1. You won't know the detailed plans or goals of China's top leaders; nobody knows, not even the mouthpieces within the Chinese system. 2. There's a significant chance the US will intervene militarily in Taiwan, while Europe is highly unlikely to do so, as it hasn't even taken significant action in the Russia-Ukraine war. Japan, however, is very likely not to stand idly by. 3. Public opinion in Taiwan is already predominantly pro-independence, and a large portion of the remaining non-independence supporters are simply afraid of war. Europeans (at least European media or commentators) are very unreliable; when the Russia-Ukraine war broke out, Europeans actually thought, "Wow, so there can be war in Europe too." Why would Europe be immune to war? There's no reason why Europe should be guaranteed to avoid war. If there is, then that reason is a "compensatory" one, using compromise with other evils to avoid war.