Comment by tikhonj

> crystal clear software development plan and the exact know-how to implement it

This is simply not how expert programmers work. Programming is planning, and programming languages are surprisingly good planning tools. But, of course, becoming an expert is hard and requires not only some general aptitude but also substantial time, experience and effort.

My theory is that this is a source of diverging views on LLMs for programming: people who see programming languages as tools for thought compared to people who see programming languages as, exclusively, tools to make computers do stuff. It's no surprise that the former would see more value in programming qua programming, while the latter are happy to sweep code under the rug.

The fundamental problem, of course, is that anything worth doing in code is going to involve pinning down a massive amount of small details. Programming languages are formal systems with nice (well, somewhat nice) UX, and formal systems are great for, well, specifying details. Human text is not.

Then again, while there might be a lot of details, there are also a lot of applications where the details barely matter. So why not let a black box make all the little decisions?

The question boils down to where you want to spend more energy: developing and articulating a good conceptual model up-front, or debugging a messy system later on. And here, too, I've found programmers fall into two distinct camps, probably for the same reasons they differ in their views on LLMs.

In principle, LLM capabilities could be reasonably well-suited to the up-front thinking-oriented programming paradigm. But, in practice, none of the tools or approaches popular today—certainly none of the ones I'm familiar with—are oriented in that direction. We have a real tooling gap.