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Comment by bakugo

14 days ago

> Basically every piece of software being built is now being built, in some part, with AI, so that is patently false.

Yep, just like a few years ago, all fintech being built was being built on top of crypto and NFTs. This is clearly the future and absolutely NOT a bubble.

> all fintech being built was being built on top of crypto and NFTs

This seems WAY less true than the assertion of software being built with LLM help. (Source: Was in FinTech.)

Like, to the point of being a willful false equivalence.

My own coding productivity has increased by a few times by using LLMs. Is that just a bubble?

  • Your productivity has not increased by a few times unless you're measuring purely by lines of code written, which has been firmly established over the decades as a largely meaningless metric.

    • I needed to track the growth of "tx_ucast_packets" in each queue on a network interface earlier.

      I asked my friendly LLM to run every second and dump the delta for each queue into a csv, 10 seconds to write what I wanted, 5 seconds later to run it, then another 10 seconds to reformat it after looking at the output.

      It had hardcoded the interface, which is what I told it to do, but I'm happy with it and want to change the interface, so again 5 seconds of typing and it's using argparse to take in a bunch of variables.

      That task would have taken me far longer than 30 seconds to do 5 years ago.

      Now if only AI can reproduce the intermittent problem with packet ordering I've been chasing down today.

    • I'm measuring by the amount of time it takes me to write a piece of code that does something I want, like make a plot or calculate some quantity of interest.

      Or even the fact that I was able to start coding in an entirely new ML framework right away without reading any documentation beforehand.

      I'm puzzled by the denialism about AI-driven productivity gains in coding. They're blindingly obvious to anyone using AI to code nowadays.

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I mean... even if you're an LLM skeptic, they are already default tools in a software engineer's toolbox, so at a minimum software engineering will have been transformed, even if AI enthusiasm cools.

The fact to that there is so much value already being derived is a pretty big difference from crypto which never generated any value at all.

  • There are so many things to criticize about the current state of gen AI, but if someone tells me with a straight face that there is zero value in LLMs and it's all like crypto I will just dismiss their opinion wholesale because if they are this wrong and lazy about something that is easily refutable, their other opinions aren't worth much either.