Comment by bananaflag

Ten years ago I believed we'll have AGI/end-of-the-world/Singularity circa 2040, and meanwhile in the 2020s we will chill out in a futuristic, booming world of un-smart innovations like 3D printing, VR and the Metaverse.

Then, in March 2023, with GPT-4, I said that we'll have AGI only ten years later, and the progress in the last few years (multimodal stuff, reasoning, coding agents) hasn't changed this view.