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Comment by therealdrag0

3 hours ago

Unemployable is a charged word. A lot of outdated professions still have professionals. There are still professional horse drawn carriages.

If the AI performance gains are 50% improvement, and companies decide they rather cut costs and pocket the difference, could be due to many factors, that leaves millions out of a job. And those performance gains are coming for many white collar jobs. I guess your premise is mass unemployment is not worth worrying about, so okay then.

Marginal changes in productivity can make huge impacts to industries employment rates.

People still pay thousands of dollars for wedding photographers even though everyone at the wedding also has a camera and many are taking their own pictures.

I am not a software engineer and it seems to me if someone has experience as a software engineer before LLMs, they have skills no one will really be able to acquire again in the same way.

I would expect current software engineers to eat the entire non-customer facing back office in the next ten years.