Comment by alexey-salmin
5 days ago
Yes, IF we know the numbers, that's the whole problem. Unprompted full-body MRI scans turn up a completely new probability distribution. We CAN'T know the numbers as of today, it takes decades of controlled studies to get them. (Which is exactly what doctors advocate for)
Even for something as studied as colon cancer it's still controversial whether mass colonoscopies are better than occult blood tests. US sticks to the former, Europe to latter. US have higher rates of polyp removal, higher rates of cancer detection, higher rates of surgeries and ... higher mortality rates than EU. Why this happens is being studied today, there are some early results. What is absolutely clear though is that higher detection rates don't automatically lead to better outcomes, it can easily be the opposite.
Or take something as simple as sunscreen. It's well-known that sun exposure for light-skinned people can cause cancer and sunscreen is advised. A few multi-decade studies have shown that while it indeed eradicates the skin cancer it also shortens the life expectancy by a few years.
Primum non nocere, doctors and scientists are unsure whether sunscreen should be applied at scale and you effectively call for mass biopsies and surgeries.
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