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Comment by energy123

10 days ago

Another good one[0] that LLMs (and most humans) can't get without prodding:

> I have one glass coin. Each time I flip the coin, there's a 10% chance it breaks. After 100 flips, what are the chances the coin survived?

https://xcancel.com/itsandrewgao/status/2021390093836222724

I can't see what's wrong with that answer. What should the answer be?

  • The silly trick is that, if you flipped it 100 times, then it didn't break the first 99 flips, so it's a conditional probability question in disguise.