Comment by madihaa
9 days ago
The most exciting part isn't necessarily the ceiling raising though that's happening, but the floor rising while costs plummet. Getting Opus-level reasoning at Sonnet prices/latency is what actually unlocks agentic workflows. We are effectively getting the same intelligence unit for half the compute every 6-9 months.
2024: Intelligence too cheap to meter
2026: Everyone is spending $500/month on LLM subscriptions
My Dad used to make the same joke in the 1980s about how they'd told him in the 1950s that nuclear power would be "too cheap to meter" which I assume is probably where the trope originated.
> We are effectively getting the same intelligence unit for half the compute every 6-9 months.
Something something ... Altman's law? Amodei's law?
Needs a name.
How about More's law - because we keep getting "more" compute at a lower cost?
This is what excited me about Sonnet 4.6. I've been running Opus 4.6, and switched over to Sonnet 4.6 today to see if I could notice a difference. So far, I can't detect much if any difference, but it doesn't hit my usage quota as hard.
Moore's law lives on!