Comment by motbus3

Edit: This ended up being such a big text. Sorry.

I guess I agree but I want to add to your point is that, this tech is inexpensive.

And unfortunately, not in the sense where it is related to the real value of a product or need for it, but as a market condition.

But, to me, it seems that it will be more expensive anyway.

I see these possibilities: 1. Few companies own all the technology. They cut the men in the middle and they have all kinds of super apps and will try to force into that ecosystem

2. Or, they succeeded in the substitution, they keep the man in the middle but they control whom will have access and how much it is going to be charged. The goal in this case will be to be more expensive to kickstart an engineering team than using the product and ofc, their goal will be to reach that threshold.

3. They completely fail, these businesses plateau'ed and they can't make it a better condition to subvert the current balance and take the market. This could happen if a big financial risk materialize or if they get stuck without big advancements for a long time and investors starts to demand their money back.

I think we are going this 3rd route. We are seeing early signals of nonsense marketing strategy selling things that are not there yet. We see all of them silencing ethics and transparency teams. The truth is that they started to stack models together and sell as one thing which is much different from what they sold just a year and a half ago. I am not saying this couldn't be because this is really the best model, but because they couldn't scale it up even more now, even 18 months after the previous gen of giant model releases.

The truth is that they probably need to start capitalising now because the crisis they are causing themselves might hurt them bad.

We saw this decline or every bubble popping. They need to sell it too much so they can shift the risk from being on top of their money to be on top of someone else's money, and this potential is resold multiple times as investors realise the improvements are not coming. Until there is only the speculators dealing with this sorta of business, which will ultimately make those companies to take unpopular stupid decisions like it happened with bitcoin, super hero movies, NFT and maybe much more if I could think about it.