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Comment by jsheard

2 months ago

> It seems we will run out of hardware by March?

What happens when an unstoppable force (building everything in Electron because hardware is cheap) meets an immovable object (oh no hardware is expensive now)?

Maybe we need to let go of our auto-scaled 100 pod service mesh for a todo list app, and just deploy it bare metal on 2 servers.

I guess we have to get creative again.

  • I actually think you're right here.

    Resource constraints have often helped me come up with stuff that I'm actually proud of.

    • Absolutely. It's why I find working on a microcontroller with 1KB of memory so much more rewarding than, say, a Raspberry Pi.

consumer RAM is not what's creating shortage. Data centers doesn't run electron to train the model or for inference

  • They effectively do. They’re trained by brute forcing 100TB of training data through them, rather than any logical learning technique.

    A human doesn’t need 100TB of books to learn the alphabet.

    • > A human doesn’t need 100TB of books to learn the alphabet.

      A human does need 16ish hours per day of audio/video content for several years to learn the alphabet.

      9 replies →

  • Every RAM producer is stopping their consumer grade RAM production to provide ECC-RAM and VRAM now. Micron discontinued and closed down Crucial brand as a whole.

    So, getting systems with higher RAM capacity is getting harder (from laptops to smartphones). So, for a couple of years, we need to stop using Electron so much and use what we have efficiently.

    Data centers, esp. AI hyperscalers do not care about efficiency for now, because they can suffocate consumer-grade part of the hardware marketplace and get anything and everything they want. When their bubble pops, or the whole capacity ends, they need to learn to be efficient, too.

    For reference, a well-optimized cluster runs at ~90% efficiency even though they have thousands of users. AI hyperscalers are not there. Maybe 60% efficient, at most. They waste a lot of resources to keep their momentum.

  • The problem is manufactures are shifting their production capacities towards the more profitable, high-performance "AI" components.

2026 will be the year of Rust...