Comment by selridge
1 day ago
So far the people who bet against scaling laws have all lost money. That does not mean that their luck won’t change, but we should at least admit the winning streak.
1 day ago
So far the people who bet against scaling laws have all lost money. That does not mean that their luck won’t change, but we should at least admit the winning streak.
You mean Moore's law? Which is now dead?
No I don't mean that. I mean the LLM parameter scaling laws. More importantly, it doesn't matter if I mean that or Moore's law or anything else, because I'm not making a forward looking prediction.
Read what I wrote.
I'm saying is if you bet AGAINST [LLM] scaling laws--meaning you bet that the output would peter out naturally somehow--you've lost 100% so far.
100%
Tomorrow could be your lucky day.
Or not.
This weekend I had 100% success at the blackjack table, until I didn't and lost.
I guess we'll see :)
1 reply →
it's not dead. it's enough to look at GB200/GB300 vs Vera Rubin specs.