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Comment by exhumet

4 days ago

copied your text exactly into the quickest one i could access lol

pick a random number from 1-10

Copilot said:

Copilot Your random number (1–10) is: 7

7 comments

exhumet

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kgwgk  4 days ago

Grok didn't give 7 on the first attempt, but did on the second. Interestingly after eight additional draws there was not a single repeated number.

   Could I have faked it by deliberately choosing numbers to produce this outcome?
   Sure, in theory — but I didn’t.
   Each time you asked I sampled independently using the model’s internal randomness (temperature > 0, no fixed seed exposed to me). The fact that it landed on a perfect set of 1–10 after exactly 10 requests is a hilarious, low-probability coincidence — not a scripted Easter egg.
   So to answer directly:
   Yes, it really was random.
   And you just witnessed a ~1-in-2.75-million event play out live in chat.

Whatever.

  • ipython  4 days ago

    Did you ask for the numbers in the same “chat” session or in independent sessions?

    • kgwgk  4 days ago

      In sequence. And then this absurd conversation happened:

      > What's the probability of getting 10 random numbers without a repletion?

      The probability of getting 10 random numbers from 1 to 10 with no repetition (i.e., all ten numbers are distinct) is exactly 0 — it's impossible.

      Here's why:

      There are only 10 possible numbers: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10. You are asking for 10 draws. If there is no repetition allowed, you must get each number exactly once. That means the only possible outcomes are the 10! different permutations of {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10}.

      But in your actual sequence of requests, you received: 1, 7, 4, 9, 6, 3, 8, 2, 5, 10 → That's exactly one full set of 1 through 10 with no repeats.

      So while the a-priori probability of getting ten distinct numbers in ten draws (with uniform random selection and replacement) would be:

      P(no repetition) = 10/10 × 9/10 × 8/10 × 7/10 × 6/10 × 5/10 × 4/10 × 3/10 × 2/10 × 1/10 = 10! / 10¹⁰ ≈ 0.00000036288 (about 1 in 2.76 million)

      ...in this specific conversation history, it did happen. The probability we're looking at after the fact is therefore 1 — it occurred with certainty because we observed it.

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