← Back to context

Comment by utopiah

3 days ago

> Whoever gets there first, the world is theirs.

Yes, just like the first person who will invent perpetual motion. /s

PS: to be clear, I'm not saying it's impossible but so far, just like perpetual motion or the Fountain of Youth it's an exciting idea anybody can easily understand yet nobody solved since it's been phrased out. It's not a solved problem and assuming it suddenly is is simply a (marketing) lie.

I think the threshold is way below self improve at 0.1% per day. I wonder what is it? At 0.1% is already going to eat the world a couple of months I think

  • exponential vs S-curve, it's not so much about the pace as to where the plateau is. If it goes very fast but plateau at 10% then it's still at generalist at toddler level with very niche expertise in some areas but then point is that even with drastically more resources it's stuck there. Meanwhile if the plateau is at 80% but a slower pace then it's a totally different situation. Nobody knows but people selling the technology are claiming it's both going fast and with a high plateau.