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Comment by senko

6 hours ago

The post nicely lists a bunch of failed hyped tech:

> 3D TV, AMP, Augmented Reality, Beanie Babies, Blockchain, Cartoon Avatars, Curved TVs, Frogans, Hoverboards, iBeacons, Jetpacks, Metaverse, NFTs, Physical Web, Quantum Computing, Quibi, Small and Safe Nuclear Reactors, Smart Glasses, Stadia, WiMAX.

...conveniently doesn't list a bunch of hyped tech that hasn't failed:

> microchips, PCs, the internet, ecommerce, cloud, EVs, 5G

...and presents this as evidence that the current hyped tech (AI) will fail:

> Seems like you say that about every passing fancy - and they all end up being utterly underwhelming.

When the article needs to construct disingenious arguments, I'm not interested in its conclusion.

But wait! If you actually read to the end, there's a plot twist!

> The ideology of "winner takes all" is unsustainable and not supported by reality.

Who said anything about winner takes all? You just burned a "this time is different" straw man and then conclude that "winner takes all" is not realistic?

At this moment I'm wondering if the article was in fact written by a quantized 8B LLM. Surely people don't do such non-sequiturs and then expect to be taken seriously.

But of course not. This is not an argument. This is preaching to the choir.

Preach, brother, preach.

4 comments

senko

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pedalpete  6 hours ago

Exactly! If this post had been written 20 years ago it would have started with

Internet, handheld computers, electric cars...The problem is the same dudes.

Putting beanie babies in with Quantum Computing and Nuclear Power completely ignores the potential life changing elements of some technologies, even if they don't work.

Oh, and smart glasses he put in there, so he'll be eating his words in 2 years.