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Comment by JumpCrisscross

11 hours ago

> are you predicting Hegseth will back down?

I think he may be able to cancel Anthropic’s contract. But no more. He won’t back down as much as be overruled.

> As SecDef/SecWar, Hegseth is the head of the Pentagon

On paper. Also, being the de jure head of something doesn’t automatically mean you speak for it as a whole.

> while also taking his power seriously

Authority and power are different. A plane pilot has a lot of authority. They don’t have a lot of power.

> I think he may be able to cancel Anthropic’s contract.

This outcome might be a win for everyone involved, the time and effort for those billions with a lot of strings attached are less useful as Ai matures.

The above is fairly surface level. See my other comment for particulars that matter a lot: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47176361

You’ll notice I’m trying to avoid debating generic phrases and terms such as “power” that probably won’t advance mutual understanding of this situation. I’m talking about specific actions and systems. It makes it clearer.

  • > notice I’m trying to avoid debating generic phrases

    You’re missing the forest for the trees. Take the tariffs as analogy. Specifying the laws invoked to effect the tariffs is more precise, but less complete than describing Trump, Bessent and Navarro’s motivations and theories.

    Same here. We can wax lyrical about the DPA and specific statutory authorities and how they may be litigated. Or we can look at the actual power structures. The former is precise but inaccurate. The latter is the actual dynamic.

    > terms such as “power” that probably won’t advance mutual understanding

    If terms like power and influence don’t make sense to someone, they’re going to be lost in any political discussion. But particularly under this administration.

    There aren’t legal analytic fundamentals driving why Trump hates windmills or Biden pardoned his son, these were expressions of Presidential power and preference. The legality was ex post facto.

    • Person to person, we’re talking past each other. If we were sitting down face-to-face or even with a video call, this would be a totally different conversation.

      How much are we connecting in this particular conversation? What if each of us were to step back and ask 3 questions: What am I trying to communicate? Are we both interested in having this conversation? Are we both learning from it?

      Again, this is not meant as a criticism of you. It is a statement of the dynamic here, and how we’re relating. (Even though HN is well above average, it has massive failure modes when you view it from a systems POV.)

      My feeling is that you aren’t responding to the intent behind my statement. But I’ll also recognize that I’m probably not communicating that lands for you. Maybe you feel the same in reverse? That would be my guess.

      This as a failure of our communication norms and technologies. Given we’re in the year 2026 and have minimal technical barriers, we have very much failed culturally to get anywhere close to the potential of the Internet or whatever needs to come next.

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