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Comment by mpalmer

17 hours ago

"OAI wins by playing the government's game" is such a catastrophically bad take.

> anthropic has ruined their relationship with the US govt, giving oai a good negotiating hand

You want to try defending this ridiculous statement a bit more thoroughly?

For a start, the designation by the government of a company as a supply chain risk is not a negotiating tool. It may well be found to be arbitrary and capricious once the courts look at it. Business have rights too.

For another, why do you think OAI was able to make what looks like the same deal? Anthropic was willing to say yes to anything lawful up to their red lines, and it was still a no. Why turn around and give OAI exactly the same thing, unless it's not really what it looks like?

And Altman is always looking for the next buck.

All these supposedly impressive complex funding arrangements have OAI on the hook to firms like Oracle in the hundreds of billions of dollars. No indication at all how this unprofitable business will become a trillion dollar juggernaut.

you're right, supply chain risk is not a negotiating tool. it's spite after talks have ended. it indicates a ruined relationship

the oai deal is similar, but it includes technical safeguards. I think anthropic would have wanted the oai deal

the deal was not only successful because the govt is rebounding. the miltary prefers boundaries to be technical, not contractual

they can try using it, and trust that it will only operate within its designed limits, where the output is reliable

technical barriers to misuse help prevent both accidental and bad-faith misuse. a contract allows both kinds of misuse, enforced only by lawsuits. filing in court to dispute the terms is not always allowed

  • > supply chain risk is not a negotiating tool. it's spite after talks have ended.

    No. It's unlawful abuse of power.

    > the miltary prefers boundaries to be technical, not contractual

    That's nice for the military. Meanwhile, Anthropic has the right to refuse the use of its IP without being subject to punishment by the government.

    You seem to me to be irretrievably "deal-brained", and not at all concerned about the obvious abuse of power by the government here, or the constant display of bad faith by gov't officials.

    • I am comparing the oai and anthropic deals. most of your comment isn't on that topic

      if you believe the government acts in bad faith and is untrustworthy, why trust them to not violate the terms of a contract?

      technical safeguards are more secure. the oai deal seems better

    • Adding more to this, IIRC US Govt threatened to invoke laws which have never been used against an American company in the entire history of US over two conditions that were:

      1. No global surveillance on citizens

      2. No autonomous killing machines (essentially)

      That was it, Anthropic was fine with everything else but they couldn't (in their conscience?) agree to these two things and just these two very reasonable demands caused the govt. to spiral so bad.