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Comment by MattRix

20 hours ago

I’d encourage you to read this post: https://factory.strongdm.ai

It hit the front page here a few weeks ago, but I don’t think most people took it seriously and got hung up on the $1000/day in tokens part.

I am convinced that approach is the future of nearly all software development. It’s basically about how if you’re willing to spend enough tokens, these current models can already complete any software task. With the right framework in place, you don’t need to think about the code at all, only the results.

I really don’t like that the industry is heading this way, but the more I consider that approach, the more I’m convinced it is inevitable.

My question is always: what are you building? You need to tell the AI what to build. What if it does it in a way that isn't what you want, or makes the buttom blue instead of red, or any number of other decisions?

AI can write the code, but not tell you what code you want it to write. In other words, how long are your specs? Either the LLM decides "whatever" or you have massive amounts of documentation to coordinate.

We still need to decide what to build, and some of the how. That is not automate-able, yet everyone seems to gloss over that bit.

I have this conversation (or a variation threof) with some friends: I suspect that the vast majority of “mainstream commercial software development” is flat out just cooked. We won’t be writing code, nor debugging it. It’ll will just be people throwing more LLM compute at everything.

Open source, hobbyist and personal projects will probably remain the last bastions of “human in the loop” and human-written code, and I suspect these circles will retract into smaller, tighter circles.