Comment by nebula8804

There might still be significant pushback at least for one more generation. Although we can see things move quickly now that the war on general purpose computation is moving quickly(the recent 3D printer ban proposals, introducing age verification at the OS level etc.) so many things might move slowly for a long time and then move fast all at once.

>Car companies will have accurate maps of everything, and cars will mostly become shuttles which can rely more on predetermined routines and less on world models, especially as smart cities gain a foothold too.

Car companies won't have squat. The whole point of GM buying Cruise and others trying to get into self driving was that they will be relegated to white box manufacturers if they dont try and bring this tech in house. Its funny how the MBAs at these companies tried to outsource all manufacturing to 'suppliers' such that all they really wanted to do was stick the badge on the car at the end. Now they realize this thinking is going to take themselves out of the equation as well....whoops. If your vision comes to pass why would anyone care what badge is on the front of the car?

This is probably why Waymo had to use Jaguar i-Paces: only companies desperate to offload their unsold inventory would cooperate with them.