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Comment by kubb

7 hours ago

I have no doubt that they didn't like that the regime, which is why they left.

But this assassination is no guarantee of change for the better. Far from it.

25 comments

kubb

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pinkmuffinere  7 hours ago

It’s no guarantee, but it is a good opportunity. I’m half-Persian, and certainly not as closely connected as others, but it’s hard to see this as a bad thing. There’s a possibility I can go visit my family in Iran as a result of this. I haven’t had a good chance for that in like 4 years

  • orthogonal_cube  7 hours ago

    Removal of the head of state is often a turning point. Either a regime becomes more extreme or the government collapses due to in-fighting as individuals attempt to gain control.

    I would hold back on any hopes until we see how the current government handles things. Intervention from other countries does not always lead to positive outcomes.

    • lamontcg  3 hours ago

      Has there been a regime which has collapsed due to an external strike like this where it hasn't resulted in some decades long civil war nightmare?

      I can't think of any time when bombing the shit out of a country and killing their leader has actually worked.

      All I can think of is examples of blowback.

      1 reply →

    • tim333  6 hours ago

      Trump seems to have thought it through a bit. Recent post:

      >...This is the single greatest chance for the Iranian people to take back their Country. We are hearing that many of their IRGC, Military, and other Security and Police Forces, no longer want to fight, and are looking for Immunity from us. As I said last night, “Now they can have Immunity, later they only get Death!” Hopefully, the IRGC and Police will peacefully merge with the Iranian Patriots, and work together as a unit to bring back the Country to the Greatness it deserves...

      The merge peacefully or die thing may motivate them.

      3 replies →

  • acjohnson55  6 hours ago

    I hope that it works out for you and your family.

    • swat535  5 hours ago

      As another Iranian living the West, I wish he would have been captured alive and stood trial.

      He should have answered for every single drop of blood on his hands.

      My 21 year old cousin was captured during the Mahsa uprising, she was sent to Evin prison, tortured for months. After she was released, we brought her to Canada and she was hospitalized for over a year. She will never be able to live a normal life again.

      Death was too merciful for Khamenei.

      1 reply →

ndiddy  3 hours ago

Yeah I'm not sure why people think that the Iranian government never considered any sort of continuity for what happens when their 86 year old ruler dies. It's not like they're ants that are all helpless without their sole supreme leader.

  • dismalaf  1 hour ago

    The fact a leader can be assassinated at any moment by the US probably changes the succession plan slightly... I imagine any potential successor is thinking hard about whether it's a job they actually want.

faramarz  7 hours ago

It's less a revolution and more a matter of catching the tide of shifting world powers — and seizing a rare shot at building something other than the last failed experiment. New Iran, new experiment. You bet Iranians are euphoric right now. Some of the country's brightest intellectuals and political minds are sitting in Evin prison, and if all goes well, they're about to walk out and help shape what comes next. My dad is worried about the power vacuum, and he's right to be. His biggest concern is the border states and the narrative that ISIS is being funneled into the country to destroy any chance of organized transition. I desperately hope he's wrong. And I don't think he'll ever fully heal — few who lived through the first revolution will.