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Comment by qsera

13 hours ago

>Probable given what?

The training data..

>predicting what intelligence would do

No, it just predict what the next word would be if an intelligent entity translated its thoughts to words. Because it is trained on the text that are written by intelligent entities.

If it was trained on text written by someone who loves to rhyme, you would be getting all rhyming responses.

It imitates the behavior -- in text -- of what ever entity that generated the training data. Here the training data was made by intelligent humans, so we get an imitation of the same.

It is a clever party trick that works often enough.

> The training data

If the prompt is unique, it is not in the training data. True for basically every prompt. So how is this probability calculated?

  • The prompt is unique but the tokens aren't.

    Type "owejdpowejdojweodmwepiodnoiwendoinw welidn owindoiwendo nwoeidnweoind oiwnedoin" into ChatGPT and the response is "The text you sent appears to be random or corrupted and doesn’t form a clear question." because the prompt doesnt correlate to training data.

  • Just using a scaled up and cleverly tweaked version of linear regression analysis...

    • That is, the probability distribution that the network should learn is defined by which probability distribution the network has learned. Brilliant!

  • Hamiltonian paths and previous work by Donald Knuth is more than likely in the training data.

    • The specific sequence of tokens that comprise the Knuth's problem with an answer to it is not in the training data. A naive probability distribution based on counting token sequences that are present in the training data would assign 0 probability to it. The trained network represents extremely non-naive approach to estimating the ground-truth distribution (the distribution that corresponds to what a human brain might have produced).

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It is impossible to accurately imitate the action of intelligent beings without being intelligent. To believe otherwise is to believe that intelligence is a vacuous property.

  • So the actors who portrait great thinkers are great thinkers?

    • No, actors recite a pre-written script. But scriptwriters do have to be great thinkers in order to know what the great thinker would actually say.

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  • An unintelligent device can accurately imitate the action of intelligent beings within a given scope, in the same way an actor can accurately imitate the action of a fictional character in a given scope (the stage or camera) without actually being that character.

    If the idea is that something cannot accurately replicate the entirety of intelligence without being intelligent itself, then perhaps. But that isn't really what people talk about with LLMs given their obvious limitations.

  • >It is impossible to accurately imitate the action of intelligent beings without being intelligent.

    Wait what? So a robot who is accurately copying the actions of an intelligent human, is intelligent?

    • That was probably phrased poorly. If a robot can independently accurately do what an intelligent person would do when placed in a novel situation, then yes, I would say it is intelligent.

      If it's just basically being a puppet, then no. You tell me what claude code is more like, a puppet, or a person?

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