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Comment by sudopsuedo

5 hours ago

The 9.2% figure is pharma's direct share of NHE, but drugs are a net-positive externality. Cheap statins can stave off cardiac surgeries, GLP-1 can stave off bariatric surgeries, etc. It's ridiculous to conclude we would only save 9.2% on costs--this is not zero-sum.

No comment on drug pricing and its incentives, the existence of America's prescription drug markets drives the new innovative drugs that the rest of the world picks up for cheap.

> the existence of America's prescription drug markets drives the new innovative drugs that the rest of the world picks up for cheap.

That's the ludicrous propaganda that you've been fed but you really should be intelligent enough to dismiss it.

The world would get along just fine without you overpaying for your drugs. You pay for marketing costs.

  • Mostly not marketing (still large), but the R&D costs and clinical trial costs. The latter are in hundreds of millions to billions range for the entire journey from a promising discovery to an FDA-approved medicine.

    • Right, but the idea that Americans specifically should pay higher prices is beyond propaganda. It's Stockholm Syndrome-level delusion. Big Pharm has thrived for generations on our research universities (for the time being anyway) and had a front row seat to expanding foreign markets under US-led globalization. In return, we get the world's most expensive healthcare system and the privilege of paying too much for meds because our leaders won't cut a deal. All they have to lose is the "hundreds of millions to billions range" in annual lobbying expenditures by Big Pharma.

      In a sane world - or literally any other country - that $300-$500 million in annual lobbying would be the literal difference that makes medicine accessible for those who need it. Instead, it goes to expensive lunches.

That's an interesting argument --- that massively increased access to pharmaceuticals would have knock-on impacts on other cost areas in the NHE.

I think if we dig into the numbers we're likely to find those effects, even if we maximize them, are marginal, unless we do other structural things to untangle the provider pricing system and do price transparency. Like: you could posit a material impact on CVD costs by making statins more widespread, and that should make a dent somewhere, but I don't know that CVD costs in non-Medicare-insured patients are really that big a line item, and non-Medicare is important here because people already Medicare-qualified generally have all the statins they want already. Meanwhile, providers are still ripping patients (and insurers) faces off for shoulder impingements, stents, and spinal fusions.

It's a super interesting comment. Thanks!