← Back to context

Comment by beepbooptheory

8 hours ago

I do not think you have comprehended the blog.

> you can’t overcome latency with brute force

Curious what rang true to you if not the main point?

The approval tree grows logarithmically as the size of the company grows. A startup can win initially because they may have zero or one level to get to production. That's part of how they manage to get inside the OODA loop of much bigger companies.

The flip side of that, and why the software world is not a complex network of millions of tiny startups but in fact has quite a few companies where log(organization) >= 2, is that there are a lot of tasks that are just larger than a startup, and the log of the minimum size organization that can do the job becomes 2 or 3 or 4.

There is certainly at least the possibility that AI can really enhance those startups even faster, but it also means that they'll get to the point that they need more layers more quickly, too. Since AI can help much, much more with coding than it can with the other layers (not that it can't help, but at the moment I don't think there's anybody else in the world getting the advantages from AI that programmers are getting), it can also result in the amount of time that startups can stay in the log(organization)=1 range shrink.

(Pardon the sloppy "log(organization)" notation. It should not be taken too literally.)