Comment by RcouF1uZ4gsC
4 days ago
And if a result is surprising to you, you should trust it less and look into it more deeply.
And if you do so, one of two good outcomes will hopefully happen:
1. You find the result is bogus
2. You learn something new and update your internal model of the world.
This ignores a huge blind spot that humans have: confirmation bias.
There is no accurate heuristic which is a good short.