Comment by xpl

> Their capabilities should saturate at human or maybe above-average human performance

LLMs do have superhuman reasoning speed and superhuman dedication. Speed is something you can scale, and at some point quantity can turn into quality. Much of the frontier work done by humans is just dedication, luck, and remixing other people's ideas ("standing on the shoulders of giants"), isn't it? All of this is exactly what you can scale by having restless hordes of fast-thinking agents, even if each of those agents is intellectually "just above average human".