Comment by hodgehog11
10 hours ago
I used to be worried, but not so much anymore.
It used to be the case that the labs were prioritising replacing human creativity, e.g. generative art, video, writing. However, they are coming to realise that just isn't a profitable approach. The most profitable goal is actually the most human-oriented one: the AI becomes an extraordinarily powerful tool that may be able to one-shot particular tasks. But the design of the task itself is still very human, and there is no incentive to replace that part. Researchers talk a bit less about AGI now because it's a pointless goal. Alignment is more lucrative.
Basically, executives want to replace workers, not themselves.
On the contrary the depth and breadth we're becoming able to handle agentically now in software is growing very rapidly, to the point where in the last 3 months the industry has undergone a big transformation and our job functions are fundamentally starting to change. As a software engineer I feel increasingly like AGI will be a real thing within the next few years, and it's going to affect everyone.