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Comment by MeetingsBrowser

5 days ago

In the hypothetical scenario where car seats have only downsides, then of course I’m against a mandate.

There is a difference between cherry picking studies that back up your view point and how medical experts set policy though.

Experts review all of the data, and ignore outliers like a paper published in a law journal that suggests car seats are the primary reason families have shrunk from having three to two kids since the 80’s

You’ve funnily proven the point of how willing people are to put immense burdens on others in the name of safety.

There is a non-zero amount of deaths the car seat law would prevent. The burden will discourage larger families and will contribute to population decline far larger than the lives saved.

You’re not only arguing for it, you’re doing it in a way as if preventing death is such an obvious single dimension to optimize that you’re calling people irrational because they are against something that reduces fatalities.

Your same argument is what leads to prohibition and a long list of other things that suck the color out of life in the interest of “safety”.

In this conversation, you have repeatedly referred to "all of the data" and "mountains of data," yet you have posted none. Meanwhile I have posted every major study on both sides of the debate! Your argument seems to be that:

- the experts have told people to use car seats

- experts wisely base policy on "all of the data"

- therefore, "all of the data" must support the claim that car seats save lives

If we're going to discuss the question of whether experts have set policy well or poorly in a particular case, then such a strong prior on "experts always set policy well and based on the best available evidence" kind of assumes the conclusion, doesn't it?

  • https://www.cdc.gov/child-passenger-safety/publications/inde...

    Experts almost always set policy better than non-experts doing their own research. Especially on complex topics.

    There is no point in two amateurs arguing over a topic they don't understand.

    All I can do is refer to the publicly available reasoning and studies of experts, which have evidence and conclusions opposite of the amateur conclusion above.

    • Child car seat regulations are state laws passed by state politicians. They are not experts in any sense of the word, and generally don't bother with evidence or studies when creating said laws.

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    • Risk tolerance is a value judgment, not an empirical fact waiting to be discovered.

      Competent experts could tell you how much safer you would be if you wore a helmet to drive your car. They can't tell you how much you should value that extra bit of safety.

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