Comment by hypeatei
4 days ago
> in the same way that you'll probably survive one round of Russian roulette
Is that with or without spinning the chamber between rounds? The odds are worse if you spin each time. They get worse as the game goes on if you don't spin.
> The odds are worse if you spin each time.
How do they get worse if you spin? It’s still 1/6 odds of dying,iid events.
Erm no. If it goes a round and gets passed without spinning, the chances change of course. It is 1/6, 1/5, 1/4, 1/3, 1/2, .. 1
I didn't think of the gun getting passed around. To me, "one round" is pulling the trigger once after spinning the cylinder with one bullet. 1-in-6 chance of dying, you'll probably live. That's how I feel about this mission, I think they'll probably live, but man I'm nervous.
... 1/0
It's 6/11 overall chance of dying if spinning, no?
From a quick search, this page explains it: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/RussianRoulette.html
Dude, it's a nerd-snipe conversation derailing attempt. Don't take the bait.
Talk about space stuff here, not the statistical nature of Russian roulette.
How about don't tell other people what they can and can't talk about, and just ignore side threads you don't care about?
There are about 500 different HN browser extensions that let you collapse threads, btw.
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