Comment by ActorNightly
4 days ago
Anyone can write an article when the hindsight is 20-20. You can make all sorts of justifications about what happened.
Much different than predicting future.
4 days ago
Anyone can write an article when the hindsight is 20-20. You can make all sorts of justifications about what happened.
Much different than predicting future.
The in the article I linked has a lot of other qualifications. Someone wrote a comment complaining about my misscharacterization, but deleted it before I could say sorry. Sorry for the joke!
If you have 2 or 3 spare hours, it's worth reading.
The guy got a lot of first hand information about the Challenger disaster. He analyzed not only what went wrong, that is in the 20-20 category, but also what could have gone wrong, that is in the speculation category.
But if you read that report after the Columbia disaster, it's almost a premonition. He didn't identify the exact problem that caused the explosion, but the decisions that made that posible were quite similar.