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Comment by user_7832

2 months ago

> I love that we're still learning the emergent properties of LLMs!

TBH, this is (very much my opinion btw) the least surprising thing. LLMs (and especially their emergent properties) are still black boxes. Humans have been studying the human brain for millenia, and we are barely better at predicting how humans work (or for eg to what extent free will is a thing). Hell, emergent properties of traffic was not understood or properly given attention to, even when a researcher, as a driver, knows what a driver does. Right now, on the front page, is this post:

> 14. Claude Code Found a Linux Vulnerability Hidden for 23 Years (mtlynch.io)

So it's pretty cool we're learning new things about LLMs, sure, but it's barely surprising that we're still learning it.

(Sorry, mini grumpy man rant over. I just wish we knew more of the world but I know that's not realistic.)

I'm a psychiatry resident who finds LLM research fascinating because of how strongly it reminds me of our efforts to understand the human brain/mind.

I dare say that in some ways, we understand LLMs better than humans, or at least the interpretability tools are now superior. Awkward place to be, but an interesting one.

  • LLMs are orders of magnitude simpler than brains, and we literally designed them from scratch. Also, we have full control over their operation and we can trace every signal.

    Are you surprised we understand them better than brains?

    • We've been studying brains a lot longer. LLMs are grown, not built. The part that is designed are the low-level architecture - but what it builds from that is incomprehensible and unplanned.

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    • "Designed" is a bit strong. We "literally" couldn't design programs to do the interesting things LLMs can do. So we gave a giant for loop a bunch of data and a bunch of parameterized math functions and just kept updating the parameters until we got something we liked.... even on the architecture (ie, what math functions) people are just trying stuff and seeing if it works.

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    • > Also, we have full control over their operation and we can trace every signal. Are you surprised we understand them better than brains?

      Very, monsieur Laplace.

  • To be fair to your field, that advancement seems expected, no? We can do things to LLMs that we can't ethically or practically do to humans.

    • I'm still impressed by the progress in interpretability, I remember being quite pessimistic that we'd achieve even what we have today (and I recall that being the consensus in ML researchers at the time). In other words, while capabilities have advanced at about the pace I expected from the GPT-2/3 days, mechanistic interpretability has advanced even faster than I'd hoped for (in some ways, we are very far from completely understanding the ways LLMs work).

Learning about the emergent properties of these black boxes is not surprising, but it's also not daily. I think every new insight is worth celebrating.

  • Oh I very much agree that it's great to see more research and findings and improvements in this field. I'm just a little puzzled by GP's tone (which suggested that it isn't completely expected to find new things about LLMs, a few years in).

  • Indeed. For me, it's also a good reminder that AI is here to stay as technology, that the hype and investment bubble don't actually matter (well, except to those that care about AI as investment vehicle, of which I'm not one). Even if all funding dried out today, even if all AI companies shut down tomorrow, and there are no more models being trained - we've barely begun exploring how to properly use the ones we have.

    We have tons of low-hanging fruits across all fields of science and engineering to be picked, in form of different ways to apply and chain the models we have, different ways to interact with them, etc. - enough to fuel a good decade of continued progress in everything.

To say we've been studying the brain for millennia is an extreme exaggeration. Modern neuroscience is only about 50 years old.

  • I hate to "umm, akshually" but apparently we have been studying the brain for thousands of years. I wasn't talking about purely modern neuroscience (which ironically for our topic of emergence, (often till recently/still in most places) treats the brain as the sum of its parts - be them neurons or neurotransmitters).

    > The earliest reference to the brain occurs in the Edwin Smith Surgical Papyrus, written in the 17th century BC.

    I was actually thinking of ancient greeks when writing my comment, but I suppose Egyptians have even older records than them.

    From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_neuroscience

    • None of that counts as studying the brain. It's like saying rubbing sticks together to make fire counts as studying atomic energy. Those early "researchers" were hopelessly far away from even the most tangential understanding of the workings of the brain.

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Studies of LLMs belong in their own field of science, just like psychology is not being studied in the physics department.

  • Interestingly enough, for a while physics used to be studied by philosophers (and used to be put in the natural philosophy basket, together with biology and most other hard sciences).

  • The intersection of physics isnt psychology it is philosophy, and the same is true (at present) with LLM's

    Much as Diogenes mocked Platos definition of a man with a plucked chicken, LLM's revealed what "real" ai would require: contigous learning. That isnt to diminish the power of LLM's (the are useful) but that limitation is a fairly hard one to over come if true AGI is your goal.

    • Is it because we haven't invented something better than backpropagation yet?

      From what I understand, a living neural network learns several orders of magnitude more efficiently than an artificial one.

      I'm not sure where that difference comes from. But my brain probably isn't doing back propagation, it's probably doing something very different.

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I thought it was determined (slight pun) that free will is not a thing. I'm referring to Sapolsky's book "Determined: A Science of Life Without Free Will)" as an example.