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Comment by mpalmer

1 day ago

> Claude Mythos Preview’s large increase in capabilities has led us to decide not to make it generally available.

A month ago I might have believed this, now I assume that they know they can't handle the demand for the prices they're advertising.

GPT-2, o1, Opus...been here so many times. The reason they do this is because they know it works (and they seem to specifically employ credulous people who are prone to believe AGI is right around the corner). There haven't been significant innovations, the code generated is still not good but the hype cycle has to retrigger.

I remember when OpenAI created the first thinking model with o1 and there were all these breathless posts on here hyperventilating about how the model had to be kept secret, how dangerous it was, etc.

Fell for it again award. All thinking does is burn output tokens for accuracy, it is the AI getting high on its own supply, this isn't innovation but it was supposed to super AGI. Not serious.

  • > All thinking does is burn output tokens for accuracy

    “All that phenomenon X does is make a tradeoff of Y for Z”

    It sounds like you’re indignant about it being called thinking, that’s fine, but surely you can realize that the mechanism you’re criticizing actually works really well?

  • >I remember when OpenAI created the first thinking model with o1 and there were all these breathless posts on here hyperventilating about how the model had to be kept secret, how dangerous it was, etc.

    I've read that about Llama and Stable Diffusion. AI doomers are, and always have been, retarded.

Didn't OpenAI say something similar about GPT-3? Too dangerous to open source and then afew years later tehy were open sourcing gpt-oss because a bunch of oss labs were competing with their top models.

  • OpenAI didn't release GPT-2 initially because they were worried it would make it too easy to generate spam. Which it kinda did.

  • OpenAI said that GPT-5 was too dangerous to release... And look where we are now. It's mostly hype.

That's for the investors basically. Scarcity and FOMO.

  • *Until GPT-6 comes out, at which point Mythos will coincidentally be sufficiently safety-tested to release :)

you would be a fool to believe it at any point in time. Amodei is anthropomorphic grease, even more so than Altman.

Anthropic is burning through billions of VC cash. if this model was commercially viable, it would've been released yesterday.

  • If there's limited hardware but ample cash, it doesn't make sense to sell compute-intensive services to the public while you're still trying to push the frontier of capability.

    • that's more or less what I'm saying. "Claude Mythos Preview’s large increase in capabilities has led us to decide not to make it generally available", translated from bullshit, means "It would've cost four digits per 1M tokens to run this model without severe quantization, and we think we'll make more money off our hardware with lighter models. Cool benchmarks though, right?"