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Comment by avidiax

16 hours ago

Barring something catastrophic happening, I would bet that nothing will unseat Trump until January 20, 2027, at 12:00 PM (noon).

At that point, when J.D. Vance is inaugurated, he would be allowed to run and serve for 2 additional full terms (10 years total as president).

Before that, his partial term would count as a full term, and he could only run, win and serve one additional term.

This is all based on the 22nd Amendment, which established term limits.

JD is basically Peter Thiel's manchurian candidate, and some have claimed that it's the plan all along that Trump would probably not complete his term, leaving JD as the president and presumptive nominee for future terms.

Now that's a bleak picture of the future.

  • Look on the bright side; that picture respects terms limits.

    • Putin also respected term limits for a while, also with a sock puppet. 8 years should be plenty of time to have the Supreme Court Jesters come up with a solution. They already pardoned Steve Bannon!

This seems extremely likely. I’m already unconvinced the elections are going to be fair this year, but I am certain an impeachment would piss the conservatives off so much there would be another red swing during 2028 elections. Then after 4 years of JD Vance we will be living in the United States of Jesus so nothing will matter much anymore.

Trump has power because he shows up to a rally and tons of folks join. People want to follow him. JD who?

  • JD being less popular that Trump is an advantage that the Democratic party can easily squander.

    He is pretty popular with the base, and only needs to look more palatable than whomever the opposition puts forward to the swing voters. The fact that he's relatively boring will suppress Democratic turnout somewhat.

    And in the case that Trump leaves office due to health reasons, there will be a "rally around the flag" vibe that gives him a boost.

    That's not to say that he's certain to win, but he would have many advantages if he serves a partial term and seems to be tracking better.