← Back to context

Comment by bawolff

16 hours ago

And no way US stops bombing them unless they open the strait (I say US because Israel doesnt care about the strait).

I think such an agreement is plausible. Trump really cares about oil prices, and i imagine Iranian leadership would really like to stop being bombed.

[flagged]

  • > There is no military solution to open the strait.

    There is no cheap & fast military solution. There are certainly military solutions if you are ok with it taking a while or costing a lot of lives.

    > Iran has capability to hit back

    They have demonstrated they can make the surounding countries miserable. They arent capable of actually getting a military victory.

    Which is why a deal is plausible. USA doesnt want to spend (in money and lives) what it would cost to open the strait. Iran demonstrates it can hit back enough to be annoying but not enough to force a victory. Sounds like neither side is exactly capable of "winning" (without us spending more than it wants), so a deal sounds plausible.