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Comment by tristanj

13 hours ago

No chance. A nuclear strike on Iran won't achieve anything that a large number of conventional strikes would.

My real question is not whether it would achieve anything meaningful, but what would be the side effects of such a strike on allies in the region.

I don't have a remotely decent mental model of fallout etc from modern nuclear weapons - my assumptions are they're still toxic enough to be a bloody terrible idea anywhere near someone you like.

You're assuming the current president operates on rationale. He simply would love to be the guy who uses a tactical nuke.

  • How much would you wager? It's easy to to say what you're saying because it's popular.

    If you watch action and not social media bs, the probability is close to 0%.