For reference: This would almost triple their govts funds each year. One must also not forget that they're able to raise tolls in the future, both for monetary investment but also for negotiation purposes.
Making outrageous demands is normal in these negotiations. You can just look at what Hamas demanded during the ceasefires. What usually happens is no strong concessions from either side and hostilities just end. The regimes get to survive just in a badly degraded state.
Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil. Iran was already in terrible financial shape before the war and they aren't negotiating from a strong position of power to take those risks.
I’m 99% sure that if there is a deal where Iran collects a toll, it’s going to involve counting that toll (and/or sanctions relief, and/or unfreezing Iranian assets) as reparations. I would be very surprised if the US or Israel ever agree to direct payments to the Iranian government.
For reference: This would almost triple their govts funds each year. One must also not forget that they're able to raise tolls in the future, both for monetary investment but also for negotiation purposes.
good for them, hopfeully they will be able to better protect themseves from rogue nations that don't respect international laws.
So we spent a ton of money and a bunch of people died to negotiate a much worse situation.
5D chess!
Making outrageous demands is normal in these negotiations. You can just look at what Hamas demanded during the ceasefires. What usually happens is no strong concessions from either side and hostilities just end. The regimes get to survive just in a badly degraded state.
Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil. Iran was already in terrible financial shape before the war and they aren't negotiating from a strong position of power to take those risks.
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Not quite, since they plan to share the revenue with Oman, or at least that’s what they’re currently claiming.
Trump cancelled the Iran deal, replaced it with nothing and now Iran has found an infinite money glitch.
Soon the dubai influencers will flock to Teheran.
Nice. I wonder what the costs of reparations would be if the ceasefire were to end the war?
I’m 99% sure that if there is a deal where Iran collects a toll, it’s going to involve counting that toll (and/or sanctions relief, and/or unfreezing Iranian assets) as reparations. I would be very surprised if the US or Israel ever agree to direct payments to the Iranian government.
Truly an Art of the Deal - make countries that didn't choose to attack Iran... Pay for reparations.
With friends like Uncle Sam, who needs enemies?
100B/Year
How are they spinning this, that it is not Reparations?
"10. Iran to use Hormuz fees for reconstruction instead of reparations"
What is the splitting of hairs here?
I think reparations could be spent as they see fit. Reconstruction implies the money is going to exactly that.
But I agree it's a weird nitpick at this stage, as it seems almost impossible to verify once in place
No, the point is that instead of the US paying reparations from their own pocket they will allow Iran to tax Gulf countries.
That sentence is just worded badly, I would rewrite it as:
10. Iran to use Hormuz fees for reconstruction instead of demanding reparations from the US.
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