Comment by kadoban

> But hey - show some courage and post what you think will happen in a few weeks/months and then we'll check back and see who was right.

I mean, I already did. You also don't even agree on what _already_ happened, so I don't expect much to change in the next few weeks there. This for example:

> Just a reminder you were wrong about this part: (a lot of equipment on both sides).

You honestly think that the US didn't lose "a lot of equipment", or am I misreading what you're saying there?

But here's my predictions, consolidated:

The Strait will be monetized by Iran and more controlled compared to pre-war. Sanctions on Iran will be reduced or eliminated from their pre-war levels. There will not be any effective controls on what drones or missiles that Iran can build.

In five years, Iran will have a nuclear bomb. Probably much sooner, but I doubt it will be super public or unambiguous.

> No matter what the justification or reasoning is they'll never be permitted to have one.

Why does North Korea have nuclear weapons now, and why does that not apply to Iran in the future?