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Comment by trollbridge

2 days ago

Reminds me the state of nuclear fusion.

Just a decade away now.

  • That's progress, if fusion is always only 10 years away now! The running joke used to be that it was always 30 years away.

  • Fusion is a number of dollars away, not years. It gets almost no funding because it’sa science and engineering experiment that most likely will not lead to economically viable power plants in a market dominated by renewables.

  • … and like fusion it will be a decade away, a decade away, a decade away, six months away, then we have it.

    The “decade away” phenomenon comes from the fact that it’s basically impossible to time estimate innovation.

    • ... and room temperature superconductors! If only we could sort out the feasibility, interdependencies, and priorities, but we just don't know, or well, I just don't know haha.