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Comment by btown

16 hours ago

IMO the thing that AI will change is the type of target. It's reasonable to assume that if you launch a website for a small business nowadays - sure, you'll get phishing attempts, port scans, attempts to submit SQL injections into your signup forms, etc.

But you won't get the equivalent of a sophisticated actor's spear-phishing efforts, highly customized supply chain attacks on likely vendor data, the individualized attention to not just blindly propagate when a developer downloads a hacked NPM package or otherwise gets a local virus... but to log into the company's SaaS systems overnight, pivot to senior colleagues, do crazy things like update PRs to simultaneously fix bugs while subtly adding injection surface areas, log into configuration systems whose changes aren't tracked in Git, identify how one might sign up as a vendor and trigger automatic payments to themselves with a Slack DM as cross-channel confirmation, etc.

The only thing holding this back from hitting every company is risk vs. reward. And when the likelihood of success, multiplied by the payout, exceeds the token cost - which might not happen with Mythos, but might happen with open source coding models distilled from it, running on crypto mining servers during times that minting is unprofitable, or by state actors for whom mere chaos is the goal - that threshold is rapidly approaching.