Comment by pinkmuffinere
9 hours ago
Am I misunderstanding? I think that’s trivially not true. Consider:
Joe Dart elected president Y/N
Cory Wong elected president Y/N
A no bet on Joe Dart is not a yes bet on Cory Wong.
9 hours ago
Am I misunderstanding? I think that’s trivially not true. Consider:
Joe Dart elected president Y/N
Cory Wong elected president Y/N
A no bet on Joe Dart is not a yes bet on Cory Wong.
Dart/Wong for America ‘28 - Give America Back Its Groove.
Did you read the link? A NO bet on Joe Dart is a YES bet on Cory Wong + Others.
It is trivial. Saying NO to a candidate means you're saying YES to ALL other candidates with varying probabilities that would sum to the neg risk of that NO bet.