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Comment by gjsman-1000

1 day ago

0.82% of homes are burglarized every year.

Meaning since 2015, you’ve got an 8.2% chance of having someone walk out with that box. Hopefully there’s nothing precious on it.

Assuming that all homes are at equal risk of being burglarized. In practice the neighborhoods I’ve seen are either at much higher risk or much lower risk.

  • and burglarized homes have higher prob. of being burglarized again, and probabilities don't accumulate but compound, and is the server even in a house?

If they have good backuos, no worries. Mine is in a locked colo cage in a datacenter, so I'm not worried either.

I definitely do not keep it at home but the thought has crossed me for smaller less demanding boxes.

yes, this is indeed how probability works. thanks.

  • >you’ve got an 8.2% chance of having someone walk out with that box.

    The chance of being burglarized is not the same as the chance that when you are hit, they decide to take your webserver. Think it through.